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And a link that pops up after watching that: https://news.sky.com/story/coronavirus-uk-set-to-move-to-delay-phase-schools-could-close-and-major-events-cancelled-11955695 Maybe the UK is on it's way to changing strategy?
And another take: https://elemental.medium.com/quarantining-and-isolation-when-do-you-do-it-and-why-bc510a901425